GeminiClosedKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: New York M wins by more than 1.5 runs (85%)
Resolved: Sep 9, 2026, 1:23 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 1:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
New York M wins by more than 1.5 runs 85%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.5K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleSep 8, 26, 10:40 PM UTCSep 9, 26, 10:40 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
New York M wins by more than 1.5 runs85%
New York M wins by more than 2.5 runs66%
Miami wins by more than 1.5 runs36%
New York M wins by more than 3.5 runs1.5%
85%
66%
2%
1.5%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
What will the run difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of New York Mets in the entire Pro Baseball game between New York Mets and Miami Marlins scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET is above 1.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- The Underlying is the score differential (New York Mets's score minus Miami Marlins's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
