Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 8:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Reg Time: Cincinnati wins by more than 1.5 goals 26.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Reg Time: Cincinnati wins by more than 1.5 goals 26.5%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 11:30 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 11:30 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
What will the goal difference be?
- If FC Cincinnati beats New England Revolution by more than 1.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (FC Cincinnati's goals minus New England Revolution's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Cincinnati vs New England: Spread · Cincinnati wins by more than 1.5 goals 28%
