Current implied probability
Toronto 51%
Toronto 51%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0.2
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
47.0% / 55.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 11:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Montreal vs Toronto: Total Goals
KalshiMontreal vs Toronto: Spread
KalshiToronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens
FutuurNHL: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs (Sep 29, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)NHL: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Spread (Sep 29, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)NHL: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Total Goals (Sep 29, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
Montreal vs Toronto
- If Toronto wins the Pro Hockey game between Toronto and Montreal originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NHL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Toronto is 51%.
CoinRithm reference Toronto 51% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Montreal vs Toronto · Montreal 50%