GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 9:17 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Aaron Jones 40+ Rushing Yards 84.5%Leader of 33 outcomes
Aaron Jones 40+ Rushing Yards 84.5%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 11, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Minnesota vs New Orleans: Player Receiving Yards
GeminiMinnesota vs New Orleans: Player Touchdowns
GeminiMinnesota vs New Orleans: Player Longest Reception
KalshiMinnesota vs New Orleans: Player Longest Rush
KalshiSan Francisco vs Seattle: Player Rushing Yards
GeminiPhiladelphia vs Jacksonville: Player Rushing Yards
GeminiRules
How many rushing yards will each player record?
- This market resolves to Yes if Aaron Jones records 40 or more Rushing Yards in the game between Minnesota and New Orleans scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, including overtime.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the number of Rushing Yards recorded by the specified player for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are NFL.com, ESPN, and FOX Sports.
- If the player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the Contract will resolve to the last fair price determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Once the player enters the game, the Contract resolves based on the player's official Rushing Yards recorded as documented by the Source Agency.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Minnesota vs New Orleans: Rushing Yards · Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+ 86%
