GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Toronto 61.9%
Toronto 61.9%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$41
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
62.0% / 63.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 10, 26, 10:30 PM UTCOct 12, 26, 10:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
the named outcome vs Toronto
- If Toronto wins the Pro Basketball game between Toronto and the named outcome originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NBA_Win_Lose_Class_925aa13e-b255-4ef8-85e0-534a6f0a9012.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Toronto is 62%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Toronto 62% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Los Angeles C vs Toronto · Toronto 61%