GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Golden State 92.9%
Golden State 92.9%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
91.0% / 93.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 8:00 PM UTCOct 6, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
the named outcome vs the named outcome
- If the named outcome wins the Women's Pro Basketball game between the named outcome and the named outcome originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_WNBA_WinLose_Classdocx_e875c682-4044-42e9-9c2e-e38fbe17b720.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Golden State is 94%. The venue spread is about 7 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference Golden State 94% · 2 venues · 7 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Game 1: Las Vegas vs Golden State · Golden State 92%