GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Michigan 66%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20.1
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
65.0% / 67.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 26, 26, 7:30 PM UTCSep 27, 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Iowa vs Michigan
- This market resolves to Yes if Michigan wins the College Football game between Michigan and Iowa originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 3:30 PM.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event .
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Michigan is 66%. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Michigan 66% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Iowa vs. Michigan · Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 20.5 — Over 93%
- Also available on Kalshi — Iowa vs Michigan · Michigan 66%
Open markets
Sports
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Buffalo10.5%
- Los Angeles R-1.0pt10.5%
- San Francisco7.9%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETDota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winner — Team Nemesis93%
+30 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIAFC Championship Winner
- Buffalo22.3%
- Kansas City14.6%
- Cincinnati11.7%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIPro Baseball Champion
- Los Angeles D+0.7pt30.2%
- Milwaukee-0.8pt15.1%
- Tampa Bay+1.3pt10.4%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $78.6M
KALSHIAndreeva vs Sasnovich
- Mirra Andreeva+10.0pt99%
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich-10.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $937.3K
- 24h Vol
- $925K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Iowa vs Michigan?
- Gemini prices Michigan at 66% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Iowa vs Michigan resolve?
- Iowa vs Michigan is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026.
- How is Iowa vs Michigan settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Iowa vs Michigan
- Where else is Iowa vs Michigan listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi.