Current implied probability
Real Madrid 62.4%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 7:00 PM UTCSep 10, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Inter vs Real Madrid: Point Spread
GeminiInter vs Real Madrid: Total Goals
GeminiReal Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano
PolymarketReal Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets
PolymarketReal Madrid vs Inter: First Half Winner
KalshiReal Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano - Exact Score
PolymarketRules
Inter vs the named outcome
- If the named outcome wins the UEFA Champions League match between the named outcome and Inter originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Real Madrid is 62%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Real Madrid 62% · 3 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Limitless — UCL, Real Madrid vs Inter · Real Madrid 60%
- Also available on Myriad — Real Madrid vs. Inter Milano: Who wins? · Real Madrid 72%
- Also available on Futuur — Real Madrid vs. Inter · Real Madrid 60%
- Also available on Polymarket — Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano · Real Madrid CF 60%
- Also available on Kalshi — Real Madrid vs Inter · Real Madrid 61%
Open markets
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- Game 2 Winner+42.5pt100%
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POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Real Madrid13.3%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Los Angeles R14.1%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Seattle6.6%
+29 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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- MIL+44.0pt99%
- CHC-46.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETGenoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- Ferrari Set 2 Winner59%
- Ferrari Set 1 Winner58%
- Ferrari Match O/U 22.557%
+13 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Inter vs Real Madrid?
- Gemini prices Real Madrid at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Inter vs Real Madrid resolve?
- Inter vs Real Madrid is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is Inter vs Real Madrid settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Inter vs the named outcome
- Where else is Inter vs Real Madrid listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless, Myriad, Futuur, Polymarket, Kalshi.