GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
71°F to 72°F 56.7%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
71°F to 72°F 56.7%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$60
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownTraders
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 24, 26, 1:08 PM UTCSep 26, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 25, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport, CA on September 25, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for San Francisco Airport, CA.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on September 25, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 25, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
