GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 19, 2026, 5:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
69°F to 70°F 41.8%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 1:08 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on September 19, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Austin on September 19, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Minneapolis on September 19, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in San Antonio on September 19, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Dallas on September 19, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Denver on September 19, 2026?
GeminiRules
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 20, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN, MN on September 20, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Twin Cities MN, MN.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN on September 20, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 20, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 19, 2026?
- Minneapolis+48.0pt99%
- Chicago+14.0pt99%
- Milwaukee+9.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $118.5K
- 24h Vol
- $110.8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 19, 2026?
- 77° or below47.7%
- 78° to 79°36.5%
- 80° to 81°13.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $69.5K
- 24h Vol
- $68.8K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Wellington on September 20?
- 14°C+45.0pt73%
- 15°C-32.5pt25%
- 16°C-15.0pt1%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHILowest temperature in New York City on Sep 19, 2026?
- 56° or below46%
- 63° to 64°30%
- 61° to 62°5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.4K
- 24h Vol
- $35.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 19, 2026?
- 71° to 72°53.5%
- 69° to 70°30.7%
- 73° to 74°9.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $32.5K
- 24h Vol
- $32.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 19, 2026?
- 94° to 95°51.8%
- 92° to 93°22.7%
- 96° to 97°11.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $32K
- 24h Vol
- $32K
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 19, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 20?
- Rain in New York City on Sep 19, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 19, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 20?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 20, 2026??
- Gemini prices 69°F to 70°F at 42% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 20, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 20, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 20, 2026? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 20, 2026?
- Where else is Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 20, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.