GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
78°F to 79°F 41.9%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$296
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 1:22 PM UTCSep 18, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Pittsburgh on September 17, 2026?
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GeminiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 17, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Seattle on September 17, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Austin on September 17, 2026?
GeminiRules
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 17, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway, IL on September 17, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Chicago-Midway, IL.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway on September 17, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 17, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 17, 2026?
- Minneapolis99%
- Houston99%
- Miami+31.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.1K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 17, 2026?
- 75° to 76°42.1%
- 77° to 78°39.3%
- 79° to 80°11.2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $66.4K
- 24h Vol
- $65.5K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 17, 2026?
- 88° to 89°33.9%
- 90° to 91°27.5%
- 86° to 87°19.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $39.7K
- 24h Vol
- $39.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 17, 2026?
- 80° to 81°45.1%
- 82° to 83°31.4%
- 79° or below16.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $38.7K
- 24h Vol
- $36.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Seattle on Sep 17, 2026?
- 76° to 77°58%
- 74° to 75°24.1%
- 72° to 73°8.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31.3K
- 24h Vol
- $31.2K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
- 29°C+13.5pt51%
- 28°C-0.5pt37.5%
- 30°C-6.0pt6.7%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Ankara on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 18?
- Highest temperature in London on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Busan on September 18?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Chicago on September 17, 2026??
- Gemini prices 78°F to 79°F at 42% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Chicago on September 17, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on September 17, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Chicago on September 17, 2026? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Highest temperature in Chicago on September 17, 2026?
- Where else is Highest temperature in Chicago on September 17, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.