Current implied probability
Barcelona 93%Leader of 3 outcomes
Barcelona 93%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 10, 26, 4:30 PM UTCOct 12, 26, 4:30 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Getafe vs Barcelona
- This market resolves to Yes if Barcelona wins the LaLiga match between Barcelona and Getafe scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Barcelona is 95%. Quotes span about 3 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Barcelona 95% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Barcelona vs Getafe · Barcelona 92%
