GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Missouri wins by more than 2.5 points (98%)
Resolved: Oct 3, 2026, 11:20 PM
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Probability Timeline
Missouri wins by more than 1.5 points32%
Missouri wins by more than 13.5 points8%
Missouri wins by more than 3.5 points24%
Florida wins by more than 6.5 points47.5%
Florida wins by more than 5.5 points51.5%
Florida wins by more than 4.5 points53.5%
Florida wins by more than 7.5 points40.5%
Florida wins by more than 2.5 points61.5%
Florida wins by more than 3.5 points56.5%
Florida wins by more than 9.5 points39.5%
Florida wins by more than 13.5 points29.5%
Missouri wins by more than 16.5 points98.5%
Missouri wins by more than 14.5 points98%
Missouri wins by more than 16.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 2.5 pointsWon
Missouri wins by more than 14.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 17.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 10.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 13.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 7.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 11.5 pointsLost
Missouri wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
Florida wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
Florida wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
Florida wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
Florida wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
Florida wins by more than 7.5 pointsLost
Florida wins by more than 13.5 pointsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Missouri in the entire college football game between Florida and Missouri scheduled for 2026-10-03 at 2:30 p.m. CT is above 2.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Missouri's score minus Florida's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).