Current implied probability
Carolina 52.5%
Carolina 52.5%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$38.9
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
49.0% / 55.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 9:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Florida vs Carolina
- If Carolina wins the Pro Hockey game between Carolina and Florida originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NHL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Carolina is 54%. Quotes span about 2 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Carolina 54% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Florida vs Carolina · Carolina 53%