Current implied probability
Cincinnati 53.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
14.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 6, 26, 1:31 AMSep 7, 26, 1:31 AM
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
D.C. vs Cincinnati
- If Cincinnati wins the Major League Soccer match between Cincinnati and D.C. originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Cincinnati is 49%. Quotes span about 4 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Cincinnati 49% · 2 venues · 4 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Cincinnati vs DC United · Cincinnati 49%
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKETLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $7.8M
POLYMARKETLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?100%
+68 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.8M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+5.0pt51%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt25%
- Ben Shelton-2.0pt8%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $23.2M
KALSHICollege Football National Championship Winner
- Ohio St.+1.0pt13%
- Notre Dame-1.0pt12%
- Texas12%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25.2M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
+60 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
KALSHIOmega European Masters Winner
- Thriston Lawrence+5.0pt22.6%
- Paul Casey+9.0pt16.9%
- Angel Hidalgo+11.7pt10.5%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for D.C. vs Cincinnati?
- Gemini prices Cincinnati at 54% as of September 6, 2026.
- When does D.C. vs Cincinnati resolve?
- D.C. vs Cincinnati is scheduled to resolve on September 7, 2026.
- How is D.C. vs Cincinnati settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: D.C. vs Cincinnati
- Where else is D.C. vs Cincinnati listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.