GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 12:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Deshaun Watson 2+ Passing Touchdowns 36.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Deshaun Watson 2+ Passing Touchdowns 36.5%Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 11, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Tampa Bay vs Dallas: Quarterback Passing Touchdowns
GeminiPhiladelphia vs Jacksonville: Quarterback Passing Touchdowns
GeminiLas Vegas vs New England: Quarterback Passing Touchdowns
GeminiTampa Bay vs Dallas: Quarterback Passing Yards
GeminiCleveland vs New York J: Passing Touchdowns
KalshiCleveland vs New York J: Touchdowns
KalshiRules
How many passing touchdowns will each quarterback throw?
- This market resolves to Yes if Deshaun Watson records 4 or more Passing Touchdowns in the game between Cleveland and New York J scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, including overtime.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the number of Passing Touchdowns recorded by the specified player for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are NFL.com, ESPN, and FOX Sports.
- If the player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the Contract will resolve to the last fair price determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Once the player enters the game, the Contract resolves based on the player's official Passing Touchdowns recorded as documented by the Source Agency.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Cleveland vs New York J: Passing Touchdowns · Geno Smith: 1+ 76%
