Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 10:33 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Buffalo 67.8%
Buffalo 67.8%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
61.0% / 74.0%
Spread
13.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 11:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Chicago vs Buffalo
- If Buffalo wins the Pro Hockey game between Buffalo and Chicago originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NHL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Chicago vs Buffalo · Buffalo 67%
