Current implied probability
Newcastle 46.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$32.8
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 5, 26, 11:30 AMSep 5, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Bournemouth vs Newcastle
- If Newcastle wins the English Premier League match between Newcastle and Bournemouth originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
4 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Newcastle is 47%. Quotes span about 9 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Newcastle 47% · 4 venues · 9 pt venue spread
- Also available on Limitless — EPL, Newcastle vs Bournemouth · Newcastle 46%
- Also available on Kalshi — Newcastle vs Bournemouth · Newcastle 46%
- Also available on Myriad — Newcastle vs. Bournemouth: Who wins? · Newcastle 55%
Open markets
Sports
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KALSHISt. Louis vs Los Angeles D
- St. Louis+30.0pt57.4%
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- UAB-3.0pt1%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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- Seattle-37.0pt27.7%
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KALSHIIdaho vs Utah
- Utah99%
- Idaho-1.0pt1%
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- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Bournemouth vs Newcastle?
- Gemini prices Newcastle at 46% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Bournemouth vs Newcastle resolve?
- Bournemouth vs Newcastle is scheduled to resolve on September 5, 2026.
- How is Bournemouth vs Newcastle settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Bournemouth vs Newcastle
- Where else is Bournemouth vs Newcastle listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless, Kalshi, Myriad.