This market resolved: Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori (45%)
Resolved: Sep 9, 2026, 2:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 2:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic 55.9%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
53.0% / 61.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 8, 26, 11:25 PM UTCSep 9, 26, 11:25 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic57%
Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori45%
55.9%
44.1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Bolelli / Vavassori vs Krajicek / Mektic
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome wins the tennis match between the named outcome and the named outcome scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)