Current implied probability
Carlos Alcaraz 78.5%
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$623.7
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
77.0% / 80.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 12:10 AM UTCSep 10, 26, 12:10 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
PolymarketBen Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score
KalshiBen Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Total Games
KalshiBen Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Game Spread
KalshiBen Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: 4 or more total sets?
LimitlessBen Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: 37 or more total games?
LimitlessRules
the named outcome vs the named outcome
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome wins the tennis match between the named outcome and the named outcome originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
SportsKALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz-2.0pt56%
- Alexander Zverev+6.0pt28%
- Ben Shelton-1.0pt8%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.6M
POLYMARKETBarranquilla: Julieta Pareja vs Lucrezia Stefanini
- Stefanini50%
- Stefanini Set 1 Winner50%
- Stefanini Set 2 Winner50%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MIL+44.0pt99%
- CHC-46.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- NYM+51.0pt99%
- MIA-53.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- ARI+28.0pt79.8%
- KC-31.0pt20.2%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R13.8%
- Buffalo6.5%
- Seattle6.5%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $83.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
- Heisman Trophy Winner
- MLB: Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox (Sep 7, 2026)
- College Football National Championship Winner
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- US Open Women's Singles Winner
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 7, 2026)
- O'Connell vs Ellis
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz?
- Gemini prices Carlos Alcaraz at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz resolve?
- Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: the named outcome vs the named outcome
- Where else is Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Limitless, Futuur.