Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 12, 2026, 2:36 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Aryna Sabalenka 57.5%
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
56.0% / 59.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 12, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina: Exact Match Score
KalshiAryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina: Total Games
KalshiAryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina: Set 2 Winner
KalshiAryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina: 3 or more total sets?
LimitlessUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
PolymarketAryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina: 22 or more total games?
LimitlessRules
the named outcome vs the named outcome
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome wins the tennis match between the named outcome and the named outcome originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
SportsPOLYMARKETLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- Game 2 Winner+51.5pt100%
- Game 3 Winner+50.5pt100%
- O/U 3.5 Games+25.4pt100%
+59 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.4M
- 24h Vol
- $6.1M
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Shane Lowry+10.0pt46%
- Jacob Skov Olesen+7.8pt11%
- Daniel Brown+8.0pt10%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nfltotal 26 SEP 11 Sflar
- 17+3.0pt100%
- 20100%
- 23100%
+42 more outcomes
- Total Vol
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs (Sep 11, 2026)
- CHC+45.0pt99%
- PIT-46.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
KALSHIOklahoma vs Michigan: Spread
- Oklahoma wins by over 1.5 points66%
- Oklahoma wins by over 2.5 points63%
- Oklahoma wins by over 3.5 points55%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R-1.0pt11.1%
- San Francisco-1.0pt6%
- Buffalo-2.0pt6%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.5M
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
- England vs Pakistan
- Dencheva vs Burillo Escorihuela
- Oklahoma vs Michigan
- Ohio St. vs Texas
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Ryan Garcia vs Conor Benn
- Philadelphia vs Atlanta
- NFL 2026-27: Champion
- Pro Football Championship Game Matchup
- Zverev vs Shelton
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina?
- Gemini prices Aryna Sabalenka at 58% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina resolve?
- Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: the named outcome vs the named outcome
- Where else is Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur, Polymarket, Limitless.