GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Air Force 54.5%
Air Force 54.5%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.4K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
53.0% / 56.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 27, 26, 2:30 AM UTCSep 28, 26, 2:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
the named outcome vs Nevada
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome wins the College Football game between the named outcome and Nevada originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event .
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Air Force is 68%. Quotes span about 2 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Air Force 68% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Air Force vs Nevada · Air Force 55%