Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Ja · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
Ja 89%
Ja 89%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
121,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätOpen Interest
42,3 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
JaSpread
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Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 20:32 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · Ja
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?
PolymarketWill Valve release a new Dota 2 gameplay patch before November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Valve release a new VR game before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
PolymarketWhich legendary 3rd game would Valve release first?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump change the name of D.C. from "District of Columbia" to "Dark Carnival" in his second term?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases Act 2 of the Dark Carnival event in Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- The Dark Carnival is an in-game Dota 2 event that Valve launched on June 25, 2026.
- Its first act, "Midnight Run," was released in three chapters between June 25 and July 24, 2026.
- For the purposes of this market, "Act 2" refers to the second act of the Dark Carnival event: the next major installment of the Dark Carnival story following "Midnight Run," whether Valve labels it "Act 2," "Act II," "Part 2," or clearly presents it under a new name as the second act or next installment of the Dark Carnival following "Midnight Run." Additional chapters, stages, or content added to "Midnight Run" (including the chapters released on July 10 and July 24, 2026) do not qualify, nor do unrelated events, gameplay patches, or cosmetic releases.
- To qualify, Act 2 must be live in the public Dota 2 client and generally accessible to players, with at least its first stage or chapter playable.
