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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

2.4% (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl1Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 5%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

100 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

9122,4 €

Liquidität

27.885,4 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

4.8% / 4.9%

Spread

2.1%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

9. Juni 26, 1:0831. Juli 26, 19:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes5%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.