Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Politik
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (100%)
Entschieden: 22.04.2026, 03:51
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 100%+0.2pt
Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
-
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 106 Tagen
Veraltet26. Feb. 26, 23:0521. Apr. 26, 0:00
Trends
100%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Yes
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 100% | — | 0 € | 0 € | vor 106 Tagen | |
 Kalshi80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 82% | — | 0 € | 0 € | vor 96 Tagen | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets80% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 100% | — | — | — | vor 96 Tagen | Öffnen → |
 PredictIt78% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 92% | — | — | — | vor 96 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Ja (82%)
-1.0pt82%
18%
15 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum Pass?
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Ja (100%)
100%
0%
Community-Prognose192 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Will Virginia pass a redistricting referendum in 2026?
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Ja (92%)
+12.0pt92%
-12.0pt8%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegeln
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote.
- If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
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Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote.
- If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.