PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 90.1%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
10.570,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
19. Aug. 26, 22:40 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the “Stop climate shakedowns act” pass by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIndia meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiUS meets its climate goals?
KalshiEU meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiBy end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
Manifold MarketsWill the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
- A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029.
- Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
- The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays.
- As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00).
- The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Offene Märkte
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 586.176 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 568.367,7 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 108.240,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 108.240,4 €
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by which date? entschieden?
- Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.