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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Will Spencer Pratt concede by…?
Will Spencer Pratt concede by…?

Will Spencer Pratt concede by…?

43.1% (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl13T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
July 2
July 2 28%-26.5%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat

61 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

18.179,7 €

Liquidität

3310,9 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.8% / 8.0%

Spread

900.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-18.1%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

8. Juni 26, 17:253. Juli 26, 3:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
June 15
June 15
0%
June 10
June 10
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

July 228%

KalshiAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi

Will Spencer Pratt concede?

Will Spencer Pratt concede?

12T
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
20%
Before Jun 15, 2026
Before Jun 15, 2026
11%
44 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen244,6 €
24h-Volumen0,6 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent.
  • If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
  • Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify.
  • Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent.
  • If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
  • Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify.
  • Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.