Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jul 1, 2026 20%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1,1 €
Liquidität
98,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
5.0%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
6. Juni 26, 2:002. Juli 26, 3:59
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Jul 1, 202620%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will Spencer Pratt concede by…?
43.1%13T
-28.5%26%
-43.1%0%
-0.5%0%
61 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen36.910,5 €
24h-Volumen17.877,7 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Spencer Pratt has made a statement conceding defeat in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A concession requires the candidate to explicitly acknowledge defeat, loss, or that their opponent has won the race.
- Qualifying statements include "concede," "congratulate [opponent] on their victory," "accept the results," "will not be [office holder]," or other unambiguous acknowledgments of defeat.
- Suspending or ending a campaign without acknowledging defeat, conditional statements, or conceding only partial results do not qualify.
- If a candidate makes a concession statement and then retracts it before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Death or incapacitation resolves the market to the last fair traded price.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If Spencer Pratt has made a statement conceding defeat in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A concession requires the candidate to explicitly acknowledge defeat, loss, or that their opponent has won the race.
- Qualifying statements include "concede," "congratulate [opponent] on their victory," "accept the results," "will not be [office holder]," or other unambiguous acknowledgments of defeat.
- Suspending or ending a campaign without acknowledging defeat, conditional statements, or conceding only partial results do not qualify.
- If a candidate makes a concession statement and then retracts it before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Death or incapacitation resolves the market to the last fair traded price.