Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane?
Weather
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes
Entschieden: 30.08.2023, 16:46
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 100%
Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 123 Tagen
Veraltet28. Aug. 23, 18:1530. Aug. 23, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Idalia makes landfall in Florida as a major hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?).
- If Idalia is not officially reported to be Category 3 or greater status at the time of landfall in Florida or dissipates without making landfall in Florida, this market shall resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, a major hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 111 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a major hurricane landfall is said to occur when the major hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
- This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Idalia has made landfall in Florida at category 3 or greater strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane??
- Polymarket bewertet Yes mit 100% (Stand: 24. April 2026).
- Wann wird Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? entschieden?
- Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? soll am 30. August 2023 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Idalia makes landfall in Florida as a major hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?).