Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes
Entschieden: 30.08.2023, 22:04
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 100%
Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 147 Tagen
Veraltet1. Aug. 23, 17:0231. Aug. 23, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between August 1 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as listed on the National Hurricane Center website (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If no tropical systems with hurricane status make landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market may only resolve to "No" after August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
- For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL
- This market will resolve based on an initial announcement released by NOAA that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August??
- Polymarket bewertet Yes mit 100% (Stand: 31. März 2026).
- Wann wird Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? entschieden?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? soll am 31. August 2023 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between August 1 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as listed on the National Hurricane Center website (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If no tropical systems with hurricane status make landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".