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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Middle East
  3. Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1.5% (24h)One-OffMiddle East18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Bahrain
Bahrain 36%+27.5%
Führend unter 19 Optionen
Marktqualitat

73 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

32.420,9 €

Liquidität

107.923,6 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

6.0% / 9.0%

Spread

50.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+0.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

22. Mai 26, 21:3630. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Bahrain36%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
  • For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman.
  • Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
  • For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman.
  • Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.