Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Anthropic 96%+2.0%Führend unter 26 Optionen
Marktqualitat
91 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
1409,8 €
Liquidität
67.530 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
95.0% / 97.0%
Spread
2.1%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+2.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
4. Juni 26, 19:2631. Juli 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Anthropic96%
Volumentrend
$1.6k2. Juli7T Daten8. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Which company has best AI model end of July?
134.189,7 €Anthropic: 86%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Top Coding AI this week
12.009,1 €ChatGPT: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)
6915,1 €Anthropic: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
2913,7 €↑$1.15T: 57%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
$100B AI training cluster before 2029?
876,4 €Ja: 93.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
872,7 €Before Jul 24, 2026: 66%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.