PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Very severe
Entschieden: 30.10.2026, 08:53
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Very severe
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
95%
KonsensWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 30.10.2026, 19:03 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Very severe95%
Extremely severe2%
Super0%
Severe cyclonic storm or weaker0%
Very severeGewonnen
Extremely severeVerloren
Severe cyclonic storm or weakerVerloren
SuperVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketHow strong will Vance be?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
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Manifold MarketsWill strong AGI be achieved before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Arnab.
- Peak intensity means the highest category of cyclonic disturbance that the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for Tropical Cyclones, New Delhi (RSMC New Delhi), operated by the India Meteorological Department (IMD), assigns to Arnab's observed intensity in a Tropical Cyclone Advisory published for the storm.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- RSMC New Delhi's own bounds, in 3-minute maximum sustained surface wind, are: "the named outcome" is under 64 kt, "the named outcome cyclonic storm" is 64 to 89 kt, "the named outcome cyclonic storm" is 90 to 119 kt, and "Super cyclonic storm" is 120 kt or more.
- RSMC New Delhi states the category in the subject line of each Tropical Cyclone Advisory and in the first row of the advisory's forecast table, which gives the storm's intensity at the observation time the advisory is based on.
- Only that observed intensity will be considered.