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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Middle East
  3. US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

3.5% (24h)One-OffMiddle East1Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 33%-0.0%
Marktqualitat

73 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

14.172 €

Liquidität

67.523,7 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

31.0% / 34.0%

Spread

9.7%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-9.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten

26. Mai 26, 5:1631. Juli 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes33%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,652.06+2.46%EthereumETH$1,650.89+1.90%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.75%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.87%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%BNBBNB$595.25+1.81%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.