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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Middle East
  3. US-Iran deal text released by...?
US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...?

0.7% (24h)Middle EastOne-Off11T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 19
June 19 100%+10.4%
Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat

77 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

1,8 Mio. €

Liquidität

3,2 Mio. €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 0.1%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

15. Juni 26, 23:081. Juli 26, 3:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
June 19
June 19
100%
June 17
June 17
100%
June 30
June 30
100%
June 16
June 16
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

June 19100%

Regeln

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
  • The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article).
  • Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify.

Verwandte Märkte

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

1,2 Mio. €
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Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

832.663,6 €
No Meeting by June 30: 46%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

12.317,2 €
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Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,349.06-3.14%EthereumETH$1,690.38-3.25%SolanaSOL$68.23-5.15%DogecoinDOGE$0.0822-3.45%XRPXRP$1.12-4.64%BNBBNB$571.64-3.38%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Iran threatens Hormuz shutdown as Israel strikes put U.S. deal at riskCrypto NewsIran touts US deal as victory as Polymarket June 30 text-release odds dipBlockchain.NewsIran signs MoU to end war as Polymarket puts Trump oil relief at 92%Blockchain.NewsNo Meeting by June 30 remains dominant despite talks on the edgeBlockchain.NewsStrait of Hormuz tension spurs Polymarket bets before June 30Blockchain.NewsTrump says Iran peace deal to be signed Sunday, contradicting TehranCointelegraph

Regeln

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
  • The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article).
  • Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify.