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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?
US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?

US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?

0.3% (24h)Health & MedicineQuarterlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 36%
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

183 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

1.4% / 71.5%

Spread

5007.1%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+30.4%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

27. Apr. 26, 20:5831. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes36%

Regeln

The CDC estimates a general fertility rate of 53.3 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q4 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q1 2026 exceeds 53.3, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q1 2026 by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q1 2026, regardless of any subsequent revisions.
  • The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.

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Regeln

The CDC estimates a general fertility rate of 53.3 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q4 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q1 2026 exceeds 53.3, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q1 2026 by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q1 2026, regardless of any subsequent revisions.
  • The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.