PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
46.0 to 48.9 42.2%Führend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
46.0 to 48.9 42.2%Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2103 €
Liquidität
1377,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
25.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 02:38 UTC23. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Michigan consumer sentiment go above 65 in 2026?
KalshiWill the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceed 48 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceed 50 in December 2026?
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ForecastExWill the US Consumer Sentiment Index exceed 40 in December 2026?
ForecastExCarried Interest Repeal by End of 2026
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for October 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for October 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
- The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for October 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on October 23, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
- Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8).