PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Alabama 51%Führend unter 40 Optionen
Alabama 51%Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
140,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
99.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
8. Okt. 26, 13:00 UTC15. Okt. 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of October 13, 2026?
PolymarketPercent of Cattle in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Corn in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Soybeans in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketWill a robot demonstrate exceptional speed, versatility, and performance in extreme environments by 2040?
Manifold MarketsNew York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 13, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for October: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.