PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 18%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1620,5 €
Liquidität
18.107,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
16. Sept. 26, 23:52 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by which date?
PolymarketBy 2026, will crude steel production outside China be at least 8% higher than in 2024?
Manifold MarketsBangladesh vs China
KalshiWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ren Zhengfei was outside China at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Both the presence outside China and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A presence outside China occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
- Ren Zhengfei need not depart China during the market window, nor remain outside China at the time of confirmation.
- If he was already outside China at market creation, his confirmed presence outside China during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to China.
Offene Märkte
ChinaKALSHIBangladesh vs China
- Bangladesh-47.0pt50.5%
- China+46.0pt49.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 180.764,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 167.352,1 €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 36,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 152.745,2 €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.251,3 €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+0.8pt96%
- December 31+1.6pt96%
- September 30+0.3pt95%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.5pt84.6%
- Moonshot+4.7pt10.6%
- Z.ai+0.3pt1.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Before Oct 1, 2026-2.0pt92%
- Before Nov 1, 2026-7.0pt90%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 178.534,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 50.116,6 €
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
- US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
- 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
- Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Ren Zhengfei public appearance by which date?
- Valorant: Nova Esports GC vs QuGuangHao Gaming (BO3) - VCT Game Changers China Qualifier Playoffs
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 18% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by which date? entschieden?
- Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ren Zhengfei was outside China at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.