Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ed Miliband 56%+1.5%Führend unter 37 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
10.358,4 €
Liquidität
191.821,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
24.0% / 31.0%
Spread
29.2%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-16.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
23. Juni 26, 1:4631. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Ed Miliband56%
Plattformen vergleichen· Ed Miliband
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 56% | 0pt | 10.358,4 € | 191.821,6 € | vor 17 Minuten | |
 Kalshi72% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 0% | -56pt | 518,1 € | 2866,8 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Smarkets92% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 55% | -1pt | 418 € | 0 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Smarkets
Next Foreign Secretary In 2026
55%
7.4%
40 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen3312,3 €
24h-Volumen418 €
SMARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?
5Mon
+9.0%20%
-5.0%7%
6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
52 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen6498 €
24h-Volumen518,1 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.
- Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.2k67.0%POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087vor 14 Tagen
POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087vor 14 TagenVolumentrend
$11.8k2. Juli16T Daten17. Juli
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MANIFOLD MARKETSNext Chancellor
2163,3 €Ed Miliband: 3.85%SMARKETS
SMARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.
- Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.