Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
David Miliband 6%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
518,1 €
Liquidität
2866,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.0% / 5.0%
Spread
66.7%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 30 Minuten
9. Juli 26, 18:438. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
David Miliband6%
Plattformen vergleichen· Ed Miliband
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt72% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 55% | -1pt | 9531,5 € | 172.235,3 € | vor 10 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 0% | -56pt | 518,1 € | 2866,9 € | vor 30 Minuten | |
 Smarkets72% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 55% | -1pt | 418 € | 0 € | vor 30 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?
9.0%5Mon
+0.5%55%
50%
50%
+34 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen245.237,9 €
24h-Volumen9531,5 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Smarkets
Next Foreign Secretary In 2026
55%
40 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen3312,5 €
24h-Volumen418 €
SMARKETSRegeln
If No new person formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Miliband formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Healey formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.2k67.0%POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087vor 14 Tagen
POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c087vor 14 TagenVolumentrend
$5929. Juli9T Daten17. Juli
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If No new person formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Miliband formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Healey formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.