PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Péter Magyar (100%)
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Péter Magyar 100%+0.1ptFührend unter 26 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
309.335,9 €
Liquidität
5 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+0.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 79 Tagen
Veraltet24. Juli 25, 22:0512. Apr. 26, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Péter Magyar100%
Other0%
Person Q0%
Person R0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person U0%
Viktor Orbán0%
Person P0%
Klára Dobrev0%
László Toroczkai0%
István Kapitány0%
János Lázár0%
Person C0%
Person D0%
Person E0%
Person F0%
Person G0%
Person H0%
Person I0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person N0%
Person O0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Péter Magyar
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 100% | — | 309.335,9 € | 5 Mio. € | vor 79 Tagen | |
 Manifold Markets80% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | vor 94 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Péter Magyar (99.1%)
99.1%
0.7%
0.2%
Community-Prognose54 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.