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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Fed
  3. Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

0.1% (24h)FedOne-Off
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 1%
Marktqualitat

73 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

89.538,3 €

Liquidität

69.128 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.4% / 0.9%

Spread

125.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-1.1%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes1%

Regeln

The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
  • The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,186.22+0.79%EthereumETH$1,642.61+0.24%SolanaSOL$64.90-0.30%

Verwandte Märkte

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

160.895,8 €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

68.112,2 €
Ja: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

60.835,9 €
Pause–Pause–Pause: 99%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

12.124,8 €
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

727,5 €
Above 3.75%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

484,8 €
Fed maintains rate: 92%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

DogecoinDOGE$0.0842-0.52%BNBBNB$593.10+0.22%XRPXRP$1.12-1.11%CardanoADA$0.1631-1.01%HyperliquidHYPE$54.33-5.11%LitecoinLTC$42.29-1.39%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Regeln

The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
  • The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.