PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAugust 31 87%+18.0%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
89 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
155.141,2 €
Liquidität
67.998,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
75.0% / 78.0%
Spread
4.0%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
25. Juni 26, 23:2231. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
August 3187%
Verwandte Märkte
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
266.473,1 €Ja: 0%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
140.964,2 €June 30: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
125.645,7 €July 31: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
414,3 €Ja: 7.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWith the new peace talks with Iran, will interest rate rates lower in the next eight weeks?
188,7 €Ja: 4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)
87,8 €Jan - Jun 2024: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Hormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.News
Hormuz strike jolts Iran-entry market as Polymarket cuts Trump odds to 15%Blockchain.NewsHormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%Blockchain.News
Inspection dispute cools US-Iran deal odds to 22.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Ras Laffan blast spotlights Gulf shipping as Polymarket puts 20+ Hormuz at 99%Blockchain.News
Iran closes Hormuz again as talks restart, Polymarket Yes dips to 39.5%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST (UTC +3:30).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market.
- Attacks by proxy forces (i.e.
- Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.