PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit≤0.0% 54%+6.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
91,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
17.0% / 91.0%
Spread
435.3%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-4.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
4. Mai 26, 15:5230. Juli 26, 6:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
≤0.0%54%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?
828,6 €4.6-4.9%: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
156,4 €2.0–2.5%: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
43,3 €Ja: 21%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
5,1 €-2.4%– -1.6%: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
3 €Above 2.5%: 53%
KALSHI
KALSHI
China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026
1,8 €Above 4.2%: 90%KALSHI
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.