PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitThomas Chalifoux 74%+2.5%Führend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
43,9 €
Liquidität
27.506,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
72.0% / 76.0%
Spread
5.6%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+0.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
23. Dez. 25, 22:4418. Aug. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Thomas Chalifoux74%
Plattformen vergleichen· Thomas Chalifoux
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 74% | 0pt | 43,9 € | 27.506,1 € | vor 1 Minute | |
 Kalshi88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 69% | -5pt | 0 € | 4753,3 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
FL-09 Republican nominee?
1J
69%
7%
6%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
40 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen6557,2 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$503. Juli11T Daten14. Juli
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.