PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit4.6-4.9% 83%-1.5%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
828,6 €
Liquidität
45.997,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.5% / 3.4%
Spread
36.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-1.8%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
20. Apr. 26, 21:3716. Juli 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
4.6-4.9%83%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026
6.0%1Mon
+6.0%90%
-8.0%84%
-6.0%53%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen57 €
24h-Volumen1,8 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 16, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
China unemployment rate in May
5 €Above 5.5%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
China Nominal GDP in 2026
0 €Above $22.2 trillion: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
156,4 €2.0–2.5%: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
43,3 €Ja: 21%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
5,1 €-2.4%– -1.6%: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETVerwandte Nachrichten
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This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 16, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.