Dieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Becerra <5% 93%+7.0%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1504,6 €
Liquidität
37.603 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 10.0%
Spread
400.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-29.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
28. Mai 26, 21:492. Juni 26, 0:00
Trends
93%
6%
3%
3%
0%
0%
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Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
California Governor Primary margin of victory
1.0%1J
-1.0%90%
99%
8%
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen294,5 €
24h-Volumen1 €
KALSHIRegeln
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
- The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
- The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.