Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%+0.0pt
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
74,9 €
Liquidität
1863,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 7.2%
Spread
5.2 pt
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
2. Apr. 26, 19:5431. Dez. 26, 17:00
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes5%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 95% | +90pt | 74,9 € | 1863,9 € | vor 22 Minuten | |
 Futuur88% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 96% | +91pt | 4,5 € | 577,6 € | vor 22 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Futuur
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
5Mon
96%
4%
32 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen5,4 €
24h-Volumen4,5 €
FUTUURRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a quantum-resistant protocol upgrade is activated on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- To qualify, the upgrade must satisfy all of the following: - The upgrade must constitute a consensus-layer change to the Bitcoin protocol that is live and enforced on the Bitcoin mainnet by the deadline.
- Proposals, drafts, code releases, miner signaling, node adoption, or activation on testnets or alternative networks do not qualify on their own. - The upgrade must enable the use of a post-quantum-secure signature scheme for standard Bitcoin transactions on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- The scheme must be intended to provide meaningful resistance against quantum attacks on transaction signing (e.g., attacks against ECDSA or successor schemes).
- Purely theoretical proposals, wallet-level changes, off-chain solutions, layer-2 systems, or other non-consensus-layer mitigations do not qualify. - The upgrade must make such quantum-resistant transaction types valid under Bitcoin consensus rules and generally available for use on the Bitcoin mainnet, even if their use is optional or not yet widely adopted.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$859. Juli6T Daten27. Juli
Zugehörige Kryptos
Verwandte Märkte
BTC price on Jul 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
1,4 Mio. €$65,250 or above: 10%
KALSHI
KALSHI
What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
836.317,4 €↑ 65,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBTC price on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
363.082,5 €$65,000 or above: 45%KALSHI
KALSHI
How high will BTC get in July?
303.991,3 €Above $67,500.00: 22%KALSHI
KALSHIBitcoin above ___ on July 28?
241.752 €60,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
71.855,5 €↓ 60,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a quantum-resistant protocol upgrade is activated on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- To qualify, the upgrade must satisfy all of the following: - The upgrade must constitute a consensus-layer change to the Bitcoin protocol that is live and enforced on the Bitcoin mainnet by the deadline.
- Proposals, drafts, code releases, miner signaling, node adoption, or activation on testnets or alternative networks do not qualify on their own. - The upgrade must enable the use of a post-quantum-secure signature scheme for standard Bitcoin transactions on the Bitcoin mainnet.
- The scheme must be intended to provide meaningful resistance against quantum attacks on transaction signing (e.g., attacks against ECDSA or successor schemes).
- Purely theoretical proposals, wallet-level changes, off-chain solutions, layer-2 systems, or other non-consensus-layer mitigations do not qualify. - The upgrade must make such quantum-resistant transaction types valid under Bitcoin consensus rules and generally available for use on the Bitcoin mainnet, even if their use is optional or not yet widely adopted.