PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 86%
Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
62,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 19.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+9.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
30. Juni 26, 17:26 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?
Manifold MarketsMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.
- Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
Offene Märkte
Society & CultureKALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds65%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6877,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6246,3 €
KALSHIWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.583 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1559,6 €
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- Rice84%
- UCLA79%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15.121,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 431,2 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+0.5pt82.2%
- Yes-0.5pt17.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.700,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 234,7 €
FORECASTEXWill UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 189,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 189,7 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Significant decrease+3.0pt60.4%
- No significant difference-11.0pt28.7%
- Significant increase+6.2pt10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 50.903,9 €
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
- Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Another Elon baby by December 31??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 86% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird Another Elon baby by December 31? entschieden?
- Another Elon baby by December 31? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Another Elon baby by December 31? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.